Exponential-Type GARCH Models With Linear-in-Variance Risk Premium
研究了指数型GARCH模型(如EGARCH和Log-GARCH)如何更自然地处理线性方差风险溢价,推导了EGARCH-in-mean模型的平稳性和估计量性质,并应用于多个股票指数的动态风险溢价估计。
One of the implications of the intertemporal capital asset pricing model is that the risk premium of the market portfolio is a linear function of its variance. Yet, estimation theory of classical GARCH-in-mean models with linear-in-variance risk premium requires strong assumptions and is incomplete. We show that exponential-type GARCH models such as EGARCH or Log-GARCH are more natural in dealing with linear-in-variance risk premia. For the popular and more difficult case of EGARCH-in-mean, we derive conditions for the existence of a unique stationary and ergodic solution and invertibility following a stochastic recurrence equation approach. We then show consistency and asymptotic normality of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator under weak moment assumptions. An empirical application estimates the dynamic risk premia of a variety of stock indices using both EGARCH-M and Log-GARCH-M models. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.