农民异质性动机、自愿接种与疾病传播:一个基于主体的模型

Farmers’ heterogeneous motives, voluntary vaccination and disease spread: an agent-based model

European Review of Agricultural Economics · 2019
被引 32
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

构建基于主体的模型,模拟不同补贴、沟通策略和疫苗副作用预期下农民的自愿接种行为及其对疾病传播的影响,发现风险沟通策略在提升接种率上效果不亚于增加补贴。

Abstract

Abstract Animal health authorities responsible for effective voluntary livestock disease control need to consider the dynamic interplay between farmers’ collective behaviour and disease epidemiology. We present an agent-based model to simulate vaccination scheme designs that differ in expected adverse vaccine effects, communication strategies and subsidy levels. Specific scheme designs improve the vaccine uptake by farmers at the start of a livestock disease epidemic compared with a base scheme of minimal communication and subsidy. The results suggest that motivational mechanisms activated by a well-designed risk communication strategy are equally or more effective in increasing vaccination uptake than providing more financial compensation.

农民异质性动机自愿接种动物疫病传播基于主体模型