历史视角下的经济发展

Economic development in historical perspective.

American Economic Review · 1980
被引 8
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

回顾1870-2000年第三世界国家的经济增长,指出其与发达国家贸易、金融和技术的紧密联系,并纠正了关于日本等经济体增长时机的常见误解。

Abstract

Many Third World countries in Central And South America Asia and Africa experienced growth acceleration in the favorable climate of 1870-1914. A few countries grew during the lean years 1914-45. Many people hold the erroneous impression that after growth accelerated in Japan in the 1880s nothing significant happened until after 1945. The presumed gap is imaginary. Third World countries which had begun growth in previous decades experienced rapid acceleration after 1945 particularly those whose growth began in the late 19th century. By 2000 many of these economies will be mature meaning they will fluctuate but have shown a long-term pattern of growth. In the 19th and 20th centuries the growth of Third World economies has been closely related to growth in developed countries export and import of goods finance and technology. Some countries have been able to take advantage of prosperity in the developed world and some have not. The Golden Age 1870-1914 of expansion and trade was led by the United Kingdom the U.S. Australia and Japan. Export growth came from using vacant land and unused labor time and a reduction of transportation rates. The Interwar Years 1914-45 broke down customary trade patterns and boundaries. Countries growing rapidly before 1914 slowed down or stagnated. The World War 2 economic boom ended in 1973 when the world went into a new bleaker period of slower growth.

第三世界经济增长历史经济增长阶段国际贸易与增长-1914年黄金时代