关于估计条件保守主义的探讨

On Estimating Conditional Conservatism

Accounting Review · 2012
被引 266
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

反驳了Patatoukas和Thomas(2011)关于条件保守主义估计存在偏差的观点,指出偏差源于遗漏变量问题,可通过固定效应回归等方法解决,修正后的估计具有统计和经济显著性。

Abstract

ABSTRACT The concept of conditional conservatism (asymmetric earnings timeliness) has provided new insight into financial reporting and stimulated considerable research since Basu (1997). Patatoukas and Thomas (2011) report bias in firm-level cross-sectional asymmetry estimates that they attribute to scale effects. We do not agree with their advice that researchers should avoid conditional conservatism estimates and inferences from research based on such estimates. Our theoretical and empirical analyses suggest the explanation is a correlated omitted variables problem that can be addressed in a straightforward fashion, including fixed-effects regression. Correlation between the expected components of earnings and returns biases estimates of how earnings incorporate the information contained in returns. Further, the correlation varies with returns, biasing asymmetric timeliness estimates. When firm-specific effects are taken into account, estimates do not exhibit the bias, are statistically and economically significant, are consistent with priors, and behave as a predictable function of book-to-market, size, and leverage. Data Availability: Data are publicly available from sources identified in the article.

条件保守主义盈余不对称及时性固定效应回归遗漏变量偏误