Admissions Constraints and the Decision to Delay University*
利用丹麦行政数据估计动态离散选择模型，研究招生限制对延迟上大学的影响，发现仅28%的延迟由招生限制导致，政策难以大幅改变延迟分布。
Abstract We investigate whether delaying entrance into university is affected by restrictions on admissions into competitive programs. Using Danish administrative data, we estimate a dynamic discrete choice model, in which students choose, if admitted, either to enter one of 30 programs or to delay. We use the model to examine delaying choices under different simulated admissions policies. Our experiments suggest that only 28 percent of students who delay do so because of admissions restrictions. Furthermore, although students respond to admissions incentives, our results imply that such policies are unlikely to substantially change the overall distribution of delay.