家庭电气化能否推动经济发展?

Does Household Electrification Supercharge Economic Development?

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2020
被引 143
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

梳理了家庭电气化对经济发展影响的研究分歧,并用肯尼亚田野实验数据证明,只有愿意付费的家庭才能从电网接入中获益,单纯通电不足以推动发展。

Abstract

In recent years, electrification has reemerged as a key priority in low-income countries, with a particular focus on electrifying households. Yet the microeconomic literature examining the impacts of electrifying households on economic development has produced a set of conflicting results. Does household electrification lead to measurable gains in living standards or not? Focusing on grid electrification, we discuss how the divergent conclusions across the literature can be explained by differences in methods, interventions, potential for spillovers, and populations. We then use experimental data from Lee, Miguel, and Wolfram (2019) — a field experiment that connected randomly selected households to the grid in rural Kenya — to show that impacts can vary even across individuals in neighboring villages. Specifically, we show that households that were willing to pay more for a grid electrification may gain more from electrification compared to households that would only connect for free. We conclude that access to household electrification alone is not enough to drive meaningful gains in development outcomes. Instead, future initiatives may work better if paired with complementary inputs that allow people to do more with power.

家庭电气化经济发展异质性影响互补性投入