处理变量/中介变量内生性与结果缺失下直接效应与间接效应的界

Bounds on direct and indirect effects under treatment/mediator endogeneity and outcome attrition

Econometric Reviews · 2022
被引 3
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

针对处理变量和中介变量内生性以及样本缺失问题,提出基于线性规划和熵参数扰动的方法,为直接与间接效应计算边界,并应用于1979年全美青年纵向调查数据分解性别工资差距。

Abstract

Causal mediation analysis aims at disentangling a treatment effect into an indirect mechanism operating through an intermediate outcome or mediator, as well as the direct effect of the treatment on the outcome of interest. However, the evaluation of direct and indirect effects is frequently complicated by non-ignorable selection into the treatment and/or mediator, even after controlling for observables, as well as sample selection/outcome attrition. We propose a method for bounding direct and indirect effects in the presence of such complications using a method that is based on a sequence of linear programming problems. Considering inverse probability weighting by propensity scores, we compute the weights that would yield identification in the absence of complications and perturb them by an entropy parameter reflecting a specific amount of propensity score misspecification to set-identify the effects of interest. We apply our method to data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 to derive bounds on the explained and unexplained components of a gender wage gap decomposition that is likely prone to non-ignorable mediator selection and outcome attrition.

因果中介分析直接效应间接效应倾向得分误设