Early childhood education and life‐cycle health
结合微观模拟和实验数据,预测高质量早期儿童项目对生命周期健康的影响,发现主要改善男性健康,显著降低心脏病、中风、癌症和死亡率,男性残疾调整生命年平均减少3.8年,健康收益几乎抵消全部项目成本。
This study forecasts the life-cycle treatment effects on health of a high-quality early childhood program. Our predictions combine microsimulation using nonexperimental data with experimental data from a midlife long-term follow-up. The follow-up incorporated a full epidemiological exam. The program mainly benefits males and significantly reduces the prevalence of heart disease, stroke, cancer, and mortality across the life-cycle. For men, we estimate an average reduction of 3.8 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The reduction in DALYs is relatively small for women. The gain in quality-adjusted life years is almost enough to offset all of the costs associated with program implementation for males and half of program costs for women.