谁先退出?银行挤兑中的排队形成

Who withdraws first? Line formation during bank runs

Journal of Banking & Finance · 2022
被引 6
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过模型和实验研究存款人在银行挤兑时如何排队,发现信息环境(能否观察他人行动)影响排队动机:不能观察时,预期挤兑者早到是为了取款;能观察时,早到是为了保留存款。

Abstract

We study how lines form in front of banks. In our model, depositors choose first the level of effort to arrive early at the bank and then whether or not to withdraw their deposit. We argue that the informational environment (i.e., the possibility of observing the action of others) affects the emergence of bank runs and should, therefore, influence the line formation. We test this prediction experimentally. While the informational environment has no effect on the line formation when we look at the average level of effort, our findings suggest that the reasons to arrive early at the bank varies across informational environment. Thus, expectations on the occurrence of bank run are key to explain the level of effort when depositors cannot observe the action of others. In this setting, depositors who expect a run arrive early at the bank to withdraw their funds. If actions can be observed, however, those who expect a run arrive early at the bank to keep their funds deposited. Depending on the informational environment, there are other factors (e.g., irrationality of depositors or loss aversion) that also explain the behavior of depositors.

银行挤兑排队形成信息环境储户行为