模型简化与变量选择:Hendry(2001)英国通胀模型的复制研究

Model simplification and variable selection: A replication of the UK inflation model by Hendry (2001)

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2020
被引 9
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

复制了Hendry(2001)的英国通胀模型,并用贝叶斯平均经典估计(BACE)方法自动简化模型,发现BACE能重现Hendry的简化路径。

Abstract

Summary In this paper, we revisit the well‐known UK inflation model by Hendry ( Journal of Applied Econometrics , 2001, 16 , 255–275. We replicate the results in a narrow sense using the gretl and PcGive programs. In a wide sense, we extend the study of model uncertainty using the Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach as an automatic model reduction strategy. We consider three different specifications to compare BACE variable selection with Hendry's reduction. We find that the BACE method can recover the path of nontrivial reduction strategy.

模型简化变量选择BACE方法英国通胀模型