Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically
提出一种非参数方法,用自适应组LASSO从大量特征中筛选出对预期收益率有增量信息的特征,并估计其非线性影响,发现许多已知预测因子并无增量信息。
Abstract We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross-section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how selected characteristics affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large number of characteristics and allows for a flexible functional form. Our implementation is insensitive to outliers. Many of the previously identified return predictors don’t provide incremental information for expected returns, and nonlinearities are important. We study our method’s properties in simulations and find large improvements in both model selection and prediction compared to alternative selection methods. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.