增长还是利润:给股市它想要的东西的破坏性后果

Growth versus Margins: Destabilizing Consequences of Giving the Stock Market What It Wants

Journal of Finance · 2008
被引 132
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

建立模型分析企业如何在追求销售增长与提高利润率之间分配精力,发现当经理关注股价时,市场对增长指标的重视会促使企业选择增长策略,这种双向反馈导致实际变量过度波动。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We develop a model in which a firm can devote effort either to increasing sales growth, or to improving per‐unit profit margins. If the firm's manager cares about the current stock price, she will favor the growth strategy when the market pays more attention to growth numbers. Conversely, it can be rational for the market to weight growth measures more heavily when it is known that the firm is following a growth strategy. This two‐way feedback between firms' strategies and the market's pricing rule can lead to excess volatility in real variables, even absent any external shocks.

增长策略利润率策略股价关注市场定价规则实体经济波动