资产回报与状态依赖的风险偏好

Asset Returns and State-Dependent Risk Preferences

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2004
被引 79
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一个消费资本资产定价模型,其中风险厌恶程度随经济状态变化,风险溢价包含消费风险和偏好变动风险,估计结果合理且显示持有资产存在额外偏好风险。

Abstract

We propose a consumption-based capital asset pricing model with state-dependent risk aversion. The corresponding risk premium includes consumption risk and the risk associated with variations in preferences. Our model can be estimated without specifying the functional form linking risk aversion with state variables. The estimates are based on Markov chain Monte Carlo estimation of exact discrete-time parameterizations for linear diffusion processes. We find estimates for relative risk aversion that are reasonable by usual standards, correlated with both consumption and returns, and indicative of an additional preference risk of holding the assets.

资产收益状态依赖风险偏好消费资本资产定价模型偏好风险