机器人与就业:来自美国劳动力市场的证据

Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets

Journal of Political Economy · 2019
被引 3015 · 同刊同年前 1%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了工业机器人对美国劳动力市场的影响,发现机器人每千名工人增加一台,就业人口比下降0.2个百分点,工资下降0.42%。

Abstract

We study the effects of industrial robots on US labor markets. We show theoretically that robots may reduce employment and wages and that their local impacts can be estimated using variation in exposure to robots—defined from industry-level advances in robotics and local industry employment. We estimate robust negative effects of robots on employment and wages across commuting zones. We also show that areas most exposed to robots after 1990 do not exhibit any differential trends before then, and robots’ impact is distinct from other capital and technologies. One more robot per thousand workers reduces the employment-to-population ratio by 0.2 percentage points and wages by 0.42%.

工业机器人就业工资通勤区