接触与暴露:难民存在与极右翼投票

Contact versus Exposure: Refugee Presence and Voting for the Far Right

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2020
被引 262 · 同刊同年前 1%
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

研究奥地利上奥地利州不同形式的难民暴露如何影响极右翼投票,发现难民过境增加极右翼支持,而本地接触减少极右翼支持。

Abstract

Abstract This paper investigates how different forms of exposure to refugees affect voting for Far Right parties. I study the state of Upper Austria where many municipalities hosted asylum seekers and also experienced a massive flow of refugees crossing into Germany in 2015. Exposure to refugees passing through border municipalities increased Far Right votes by about 1.5 percentage points, which suggests that mere exposure can increase Far Right support. Conversely, contact and sustained interactions between natives and asylum seekers in hosting municipalities decreased Far Right votes by about 4 percentage points, which is in line with the intergroup contact theory.

难民接触难民暴露极右翼投票群体接触理论