This Mine is Mine! How Minerals Fuel Conflicts in Africa
结合非洲1997-2010年14种矿产开采数据与冲突事件,发现矿产价格上升会加剧当地冲突,并可能解释该时期非洲国家约四分之一的暴力水平。
We combine georeferenced data on mining extraction of 14 minerals with information on conflict events at spatial resolution of 0.5 o × 0.5 o for all of Africa between 1997 and 2010. Exploiting exogenous variations in world prices, we find a positive impact of mining on conflict at the local level. Quantitatively, our estimates suggest that the historical rise in mineral prices (commodity super-cycle) might explain up to one-fourth of the average level of violence across African countries over the period. We then document how a fighting group's control of a mining area contributes to escalation from local to global violence. Finally, we analyze the impact of corporate practices and transparency initiatives in the mining industry.