社交网络中的贝叶斯学习

Bayesian Learning in Social Networks

Review of Economic Studies · 2011
被引 785 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究一般社交网络中的序贯学习模型,分析个体基于私人信号和他人行动做出决策时,纯策略均衡的存在性以及渐近学习的条件。

Abstract

We study the (perfect Bayesian) equilibrium of a sequential learning model over a general social network. Each individual receives a signal about the underlying state of the world, observes the past actions of a stochastically generated neighbourhood of individuals, and chooses one of two possible actions. The stochastic process generating the neighbourhoods defines the network topology. We characterize pure strategy equilibria for arbitrary stochastic and deterministic social networks and characterize the conditions under which there will be asymptotic learning—convergence (in probability) to the right action as the social network becomes large. We show that when private beliefs are unbounded (meaning that the implied likelihood ratios are unbounded), there will be asymptotic learning as long as there is some minimal amount of “expansion in observations”. We also characterize conditions under which there will be asymptotic learning when private beliefs are bounded.

贝叶斯学习社会网络渐近学习纯策略均衡