退休融资:一种最优改革方法

Retirement Financing: An Optimal Reform Approach

Econometrica · 2019
被引 36
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究通过异质性代际交叠模型,发现美国退休融资政策的主要低效源于晚年缺乏资产补贴,并设计了帕累托最优改革方案,稳态下每代净资源消耗减少7%至11%。

Abstract

We study Pareto optimal policy reforms aimed at overhauling retirement financing as an integral part of the tax and transfer system. Our framework for policy analysis is a heterogeneous‐agent overlapping‐generations model that performs well in matching the aggregate and distributional features of the U.S. economy. We present a test of Pareto optimality that identifies the main source of inefficiency in the status quo policies. Our test suggests that lack of asset subsidies late in life is the main source of inefficiency when annuity markets are incomplete. We solve for Pareto optimal policy reforms and show that progressive asset subsidies provide a powerful tool for Pareto optimal reforms. On the other hand, earnings tax reforms do not always yield efficiency gains. We implement our Pareto optimal policy reform in an economy that features demographic change. The reform reduces the present discounted value of net resources consumed by each generation by about 7 to 11 percent in the steady state. These gains amount to a one‐time lump‐sum transfer to the initial generation equal to 10.5 percent of GDP.

退休融资帕累托最优改革资产补贴代际模型