多元世界观下的学习:基于模型的推理

Learning under Diverse World Views: Model-Based Inference

American Economic Review · 2020
被引 40
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了人们使用不完整模型推理不确定性时,如何从不同世界观中相互学习,发现模型差异会导致信念分歧,但足够共性可促成共识。

Abstract

People reason about uncertainty with deliberately incomplete models. How do people hampered by different, incomplete views of the world learn from each other? We introduce a model of “ model-based inference.” Model-based reasoners partition an otherwise hopelessly complex state space into a manageable model. Unless the differences in agents’ models are trivial, interactions will often not lead agents to have common beliefs or beliefs near the correct-model belief. If the agents’ models have enough in common, then interacting will lead agents to similar beliefs, even if their models also exhibit some bizarre idiosyncrasies and their information is widely dispersed.

模型推理世界模型异质性信念信息聚合