非正规经济:发展的原因与后果

Informality: Causes and Consequences for Development

Annual Review of Economics · 2020
被引 329 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

综述了非正规经济的成因及其对发展的影响,发现降低正规化成本虽能提升总产出和全要素生产率,但减少非正规经济最有效的方式是加强广泛边际执法,而非密集边际执法。

Abstract

This article reviews the economic literature on informality, its causes, and its consequences for development. It covers a comprehensive body of research that ranges from well-identified experimental studies to equilibrium macro models, and which more recently includes structural models that integrate both micro and macro effects. The results available in the literature indicate that lowering the costs of formality is not an effective policy to reduce informality but may generate positive aggregate effects, such as higher output and total factor productivity (TFP). The most effective formalization policy is to increase enforcement on the extensive margin but not on the intensive margin of informality. The former generates substantial gains in aggregate TFP and output, without necessarily increasing unemployment. However, the overall welfare impacts are likely to depend on the transitional dynamics between steady states, which remains an open area for future research.

非正规经济正规化政策全要素生产率发展效应