Real and Nominal Equilibrium Yield Curves
在一个资产定价内生增长模型中,定量分析外部习惯、名义刚性和货币政策对实际与名义债券收益率的影响,发现习惯和名义刚性分别对实际风险溢价和货币政策效应起关键作用。
This paper quantitatively explores the role of external habits, nominal rigidities, and monetary policy for real and nominal bond yields in an asset-pricing endogenous growth model. The calibration captures the reported average positive slopes of U.S. real and nominal yield curves with sizable positive real and nominal bond risk premia. Habits are critical to generate positive real premia by altering the comovement of real rates and productivity shocks. Nominal rigidities generate monetary policy effects on real bonds. Stronger policy rule inflation responses or weaker output responses increase real term premia and reduce inflation risk premia. Relative to standard models, the paper provides an alternative interpretation of real and nominal bond risks. This paper was accepted by Tomasz Piskorski, finance.