Automobiles and urban density
基于57个国家232个城市的数据,研究发现汽车保有量每增加一个标准差,城市人口密度降低约35%,对就业密度影响类似,对车辆税收和发展中国家汽车增长有启示。
Abstract How has the rise of the automobile influenced urban areas over the past century? In this paper, we investigate the long-run impact of car ownership on urban population density, based on a sample of 232 city observations in 57 countries. Using the presence of a domestic car manufacturer in 1920 as a source of exogenous variation, our IV estimates indicate that car ownership substantially reduces density. A one standard deviation increase in car ownership rates causes a reduction in population density of around 35%. For employment density, we find almost identical results. This result has important implications for vehicle taxation, car ownership growth in developing countries, and new transport technologies such as automated vehicles.