腐败与极端主义

Corruption and extremism

Journal of Development Economics · 2025
被引 1
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

研究发现腐败会催生极端主义,但主要发生在政治少数派中。少数派选民在感知到更腐败的政治体系时,更可能转向支持极端候选人,来自印尼和巴西的证据支持这一不对称效应。

Abstract

This paper shows that corruption generates extremism, but mainly on the opposition side. While corruption hurts all citizens, only voters on the minority side may desire to switch to a more extreme representative when they perceive a more corrupt political system. In our model, campaigning on a corruption scandal against the incumbent gives a higher winning probability for the opposition politician but simultaneously reduces expected future rents from office. As extremist politicians normally are less likely to win against a moderate opponent, they have a stronger incentive to take a stand against corruption. Given that the side of the political minority has a lower chance of having their representative elected to office, they face a smaller opportunity cost of voting for extremists. Our main result is that minorities are more likely to react to corruption with more extremism. We provide causal evidence for this novel asymmetric prediction from Indonesia and Brazil.

腐败政治极端主义少数选民选举机会成本