Data and Incentives
研究了大数据时代新数据如何影响劳动力市场中代理人努力程度的激励,发现新协变量对平均努力水平有系统性影响,且其分布效应会显著影响社会福利。
“Big data” gives markets access to previously unmeasured characteristics of individual agents. Policymakers must decide whether and how to regulate the use of this data. We study how new data affects incentives for agents to exert effort in settings such as the labor market, where an agent's quality is initially unknown but is forecast from an observable outcome. We show that measurement of a new covariate has a systematic effect on the average effort exerted by agents, with the direction of the effect determined by whether the covariate is informative about long‐run quality versus a shock to short‐run outcomes. For a class of covariates satisfying a statistical property that we call strong homoskedasticity , this effect is uniform across agents. More generally, new measurements can impact agents unequally, and we show that these distributional effects have a first‐order impact on social welfare.