恐怖主义融资、招募与袭击

Terrorism Financing, Recruitment, and Attacks

Econometrica · 2022
被引 26
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用巴基斯坦伊斯兰金融机构带来的准实验变化,发现恐怖融资增加会直接导致更多袭击,且融资与招募在产生袭击上存在互补性。

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of terrorism financing and recruitment on attacks. I exploit a Sharia‐compliant institution in Pakistan, which induces unintended and quasi‐experimental variation in the funding of terrorist groups through their religious affiliation. The results indicate that higher terrorism financing, in a given location and period, generate more attacks in the same location and period. Financing exhibits a complementarity in producing attacks with terrorist recruitment, measured through data from Jihadist‐friendly online fora and machine learning. A higher supply of terror is responsible for the increase in attacks and is identified by studying groups with different affiliations operating in multiple cities. These findings are consistent with terrorist organizations facing financial frictions to their internal capital market.

恐怖主义融资恐怖分子招募恐怖袭击金融摩擦