对部分信息和模糊性的偏好

Preferences for partial information and ambiguity

Theoretical Economics · 2020
被引 19
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

提出一种理论,解释动态一致的决策者为何会因模糊厌恶而拒绝部分信息,并引入事件互补性概念来刻画这种偏好。

Abstract

We commonly think of information as an instrument for better decisions, yet evidence suggests that people often decline free information in nonstrategic scenarios. This paper provides a theory for how a dynamically‐consistent decision maker can be averse to partial information as a consequence of ambiguity aversion. It introduces a class of recursive preferences on an extended choice domain, which allows the preferences to depend on how information is dynamically revealed and to depart from the standard expected‐utility theory. A new notion of ambiguity aversion, called Event Complementarity, exactly characterizes aversion to partial information. Familiar static ambiguity‐averse preferences are embedded into the general recursive model, in which conditions for partial information aversion are identified. The findings suggest that Event Complementarity overlaps with yet still differs from the conventional notion of ambiguity aversion.

事件互补性部分信息厌恶模糊厌恶递归偏好