弱GMM的最优决策规则

Optimal Decision Rules for Weak GMM

Econometrica · 2022
被引 16
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了弱识别GMM模型中的最优决策规则,包括估计和检验,提出了准贝叶斯方法,并证明了其在弱识别下的优良性质。

Abstract

This paper studies optimal decision rules, including estimators and tests, for weakly identified GMM models. We derive the limit experiment for weakly identified GMM, and propose a theoretically‐motivated class of priors which give rise to quasi‐Bayes decision rules as a limiting case. Together with results in the previous literature, this establishes desirable properties for the quasi‐Bayes approach regardless of model identification status, and we recommend quasi‐Bayes for settings where identification is a concern. We further propose weighted average power‐optimal identification‐robust frequentist tests and confidence sets, and prove a Bernstein‐von Mises‐type result for the quasi‐Bayes posterior under weak identification.

弱工具变量GMM估计拟贝叶斯方法识别稳健检验