适应可能将气候变化对农业的损害减少三分之二

Adaptation May Reduce Climate Damage in Agriculture by Two Thirds

Journal of Agricultural Economics · 2020
被引 27
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

利用美国数据,研究发现农业适应措施有潜力抵消本世纪末气候变化可能造成的约三分之二的农业利润损失,其中美国南部地区受益最大。

Abstract

Abstract Although climate change may severely impact agriculture, farmers can mitigate it by adapting. Using US data, we estimate the amount of potential loss in agricultural profits, due to climate change, that can be reduced by agricultural adaptation. We consider two panel frameworks that differ only in their fixed effects specifications, where this difference allows us to estimate the climate change impact on agricultural profits with or without adaptation. Comparing these estimates, we find that adaptation has the potential to offset about two‐thirds of the end‐of‐century loss in agricultural profits potentially resulting from climate change. We also find that the warmest region in the US (i.e. in the south) has the most to gain from adaptation.

农业适应气候变化农业利润美国