全支付拍卖中的动态博弈

Playing the field in all-pay auctions

Experimental Economics · 2020
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

首次用连续时间协议研究全支付拍卖,发现参与者出价低于纳什均衡,且演化模型能预测不同竞拍人数下的收敛或周期行为,对拍卖设计有参考价值。

Abstract

Abstract We provide the first examination of all-pay auctions using continuous-time protocols, allowing subjects to adjust their bid at will, observe payoffs almost instantaneously, and gain more experience through repeated-play than in previous, discrete-time, implementations. Unlike our predecessors—who generally find overbidding—we observe underbidding relative to Nash equilibrium. To test the predictions of evolutionary models, we vary the number of bidders and prizes across treatments. If two bidders compete for a single prize, evolutionary models predict convergence to equilibrium. If three bidders compete for two prizes, evolutionary models predict non-convergent cyclical behavior. Consistent with evolutionary predictions, we observe cyclical behavior in both auctions and greater instability in two-prize auctions. These results suggest that evolutionary models can provide practitioners in the field with additional information about long-run aggregate behavior that is absent from conventional models.

全支付拍卖连续时间演化模型出价行为