调查报告中食品券计划参与的错误与插补及其对估计的影响

Errors in Survey Reporting and Imputation and Their Effects on Estimates of Food Stamp Program Participation

Journal of Human Resources · 2020
被引 53
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

利用行政数据验证美国社区调查、当前人口调查和收入与计划参与调查中食品券参与的报告错误,发现插补是重要误差来源,且错误导致对单亲、非白人及低收入家庭的参与率低估。

Abstract

Abstract Accurately measuring government benefit receipt in household surveys is necessary when studying disadvantaged populations and the programs that serve them. The Food Stamp Program is especially important given its size and recent growth. To validate survey reports, we use administrative data on participation in two states linked to the American Community Survey (ACS), the Current Population Survey (CPS), and the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP). We find that 23 percent of true food stamp recipient households do not report receipt in the SIPP, 35 percent in the ACS, and fully 50 percent in the CPS. A substantial number of true non-recipients are also recorded as recipients, especially in the SIPP. We examine reasons for these errors including imputation, an important source of error. Both false negative and false positive reports vary with household characteristics, implying complicated biases in multivariate analyses, such as regressions. We then directly examine biases in common survey-based estimates of program receipt by comparing them to estimates from our combined administrative and survey data. We find that the survey estimates understate participation among single parents, non-whites, and low-income households, and also lead to errors in multiple program receipt, and time and age patterns of receipt.

食品券计划参与调查报告误差插补误差行政数据验证