消费者价格指数构建中多边方法的替代偏差

Substitution Bias in Multilateral Methods for CPI Construction

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2020
被引 26
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了多边指数方法在消费者价格指数构建中的替代偏差,通过理论和模拟证据比较了不同方法,推荐使用Caves–Christensen–Diewert–Inklaar指数配合“均值拼接”更新法。

Abstract

The use of multilateral indexes is increasingly an accepted approach for incorporating scanner data in a consumer price index. The attractiveness stems from the ability to be able to control for chain drift bias. Consensus on two key issues has yet to be achieved: (i) the best multilateral method to use, and (ii) the best way of extending the resulting series when new observations become available. We present theoretical and simulation evidence on the extent of substitution biases in alternative methods. Our results suggest the use of the Caves–Christensen–Diewert–Inklaar index with a new method, the “mean splice,” for updating.

CPI构建多边方法替代偏差均值拼接法