关于对数转换因变量的统计迷思以及如何更好地估计指数模型

Statistical Myths About Log‐Transformed Dependent Variables and How to Better Estimate Exponential Models

BRITISH JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT · 2020
被引 23
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

回顾了《战略管理杂志》十年研究,发现广泛使用对数转换因变量基于统计迷思,可能导致研究结论无效,并推荐使用广义线性模型作为替代。

Abstract

Abstract We review 10 years of research published in the Strategic Management Journal ( SMJ ) and find the wide use of log‐transformed dependent variables (LTDVs) to be based on statistical myths, with possible detrimental effects for the validity of research findings. We find that many researchers use LTDVs for the wrong reasons, and very often in a way that is misaligned with the hypothesis they intend to examine. Researchers also appear unaware of the severe shortcomings of LTDVs. Using LTDVs implies estimating an exponential model, which represents a non‐linear relationship. We identify three myths that are widely followed by researchers: (1) LTDVs should be used to make distributions more normal; (2) linear hypotheses can be tested with LTDVs; and (3) LTDVs are the best way to estimate an exponential model. We call on researchers to exhibit caution when planning to use LTDVs and recommend instead the use of generalized linear models (GLMs) with quasi‐maximum likelihood estimation. The superiority of GLMs is demonstrated by two empirical examples from recently published studies.

战略管理计量经济学统计学研究方法