这是人的游戏,不是吗?!商业天使与机器学习算法投资回报的比较

It’s a Peoples Game, Isn’t It?! A Comparison Between the Investment Returns of Business Angels and Machine Learning Algorithms

ENTREPRENEURSHIP THEORY AND PRACTICE · 2020
被引 91
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

研究比较了机器学习算法与255位商业天使在早期投资中的回报,发现只有经验丰富且能抑制认知偏差的投资者才能跑赢算法。

Abstract

Investors increasingly use machine learning (ML) algorithms to support their early stage investment decisions. However, it remains unclear if algorithms can make better investment decisions and if so, why. Building on behavioral decision theory, our study compares the investment returns of an algorithm with those of 255 business angels (BAs) investing via an angel investment platform. We explore the influence of human biases and experience on BAs’ returns and find that investors only outperformed the algorithm when they had extensive investment experience and managed to suppress their cognitive biases. These results offer novel insights into the role of cognitive limitations, experience, and the use of algorithms in early stage investing.

天使投资机器学习行为金融投资决策认知偏差