并购的总体影响

The Aggregate Implications of Mergers and Acquisitions

Review of Economic Studies · 2020
被引 45
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

构建了一个并购的搜索匹配模型,利用美国数据揭示并购通过资源再配置和均衡效应提升稳态产出14%、消费4%,并指出简单征税可进一步改善福利。

Abstract

Abstract This article develops a search and matching model of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and uses it to evaluate the implications of merger activity for aggregate economic outcomes. The theory is consistent with a rich set of facts on U.S. M&A, including sorting among merging firms, a substantial merger premium and serial acquisition. It provides a sharp link between these facts and the nature of merger gains. At the micro-level, both complementarities between merging firms and productivity improvements of target firms are important in generating gains. At the macro-level, the model suggests a significant beneficial impact of M&A on aggregate outcomes—the contribution to steady state output is 14$\%$ and 4$\%$ for consumption—which occurs through the reallocation of resources across firms and equilibrium effects on firm selection and new entrepreneurship. Nevertheless, the economy is not efficient, suggesting a scope for policy improvements—a simple flat tax on M&A can raise steady state consumption as much as 2$\%$ relative to the laissez-faire equilibrium. In short, the boundaries of the firm can matter for macroeconomic outcomes.

并购搜寻匹配模型并购收益资源配置宏观经济效应