样本选择模型的双重机器学习

Double Machine Learning for Sample Selection Models

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2023
被引 27 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

针对离散处理变量在样本选择或结果缺失下的评估问题,将双重机器学习框架扩展到样本选择模型,结合Neyman正交得分和样本分割来稳健估计处理效应,并应用于Job Corps数据。

Abstract

This article considers the evaluation of discretely distributed treatments when outcomes are only observed for a subpopulation due to sample selection or outcome attrition. For identification, we combine a selection-on-observables assumption for treatment assignment with either selection-on-observables or instrumental variable assumptions concerning the outcome attrition/sample selection process. We also consider dynamic confounding, meaning that covariates that jointly affect sample selection and the outcome may (at least partly) be influenced by the treatment. To control in a data-driven way for a potentially high dimensional set of pre- and/or post-treatment covariates, we adapt the double machine learning framework for treatment evaluation to sample selection problems. We make use of (a) Neyman-orthogonal, doubly robust, and efficient score functions, which imply the robustness of treatment effect estimation to moderate regularization biases in the machine learning-based estimation of the outcome, treatment, or sample selection models and (b) sample splitting (or cross-fitting) to prevent overfitting bias. We demonstrate that the proposed estimators are asymptotically normal and root-n consistent and investigate their finite sample properties in a simulation study. We also apply our proposed methodology to the Job Corps data. The estimator is available in the causalweight package for the statistical software R.

样本选择模型双重机器学习处理效应估计高维协变量