通过生成神经网络实现多元分布的拟随机抽样

Quasi-Random Sampling for Multivariate Distributions via Generative Neural Networks

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics · 2021
被引 13
ABS 3

中文导读

提出生成矩匹配网络,从任意连接函数的多元分布中生成近似拟随机样本,实现方差缩减,适用于参数模型和真实数据,在风险管理等应用中快速估计期望。

Abstract

Generative moment matching networks (GMMNs) are introduced for generating approximate quasi-random samples from multivariate models with any underlying copula to compute estimates with variance reduction. So far, quasi-random sampling for multivariate distributions required a careful design, exploiting specific properties (such as conditional distributions) of the implied parametric copula or the underlying quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) point set, and was only tractable for a small number of models. Using GMMNs allows one to construct approximate quasi-random samples for a much larger variety of multivariate distributions without such restrictions, including empirical ones from real data with dependence structures not well captured by parametric copulas. Once trained on pseudo-random samples from a parametric model or on real data, these neural networks only require a multivariate standard uniform randomized QMC point set as input and are thus fast in estimating expectations of interest under dependence with variance reduction. Numerical examples are considered to demonstrate the approach, including applications inspired by risk management practice.

计量经济学蒙特卡洛方法生成神经网络多元统计风险管理