Robust estimation of superhedging prices
研究了利用历史股票收益率估计超对冲价格,提出基于Wasserstein距离的稳健估计量,并分析了收敛速度,适用于金融风险管理和资产定价。
We consider statistical estimation of superhedging prices using historical stock returns in a frictionless market with $d$ traded assets. We introduce a plug-in estimator based on empirical measures and show it is consistent but lacks suitable robustness. To address this, we propose novel estimators which use a larger set of martingale measures defined through a tradeoff between the radius of Wasserstein balls around the empirical measure and the allowed norm of martingale densities. We then extend our study, in part, to estimation of risk measures, to the case of markets with traded options, to a multi-period setting and to settings with model uncertainty. We also study convergence rates of estimators and convergence of super-hedging strategies.