资本主义普遍规律的兴衰

The Rise and Decline of General Laws of Capitalism

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2015
被引 321
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

批评皮凯蒂《21世纪资本论》中提出的资本主义普遍规律,认为其忽视了政治经济制度和技术的内生演变,并用回归证据和南非、瑞典的历史案例说明利率与增长率的差距无法解释不平等的历史模式。

Abstract

Thomas Piketty's (2013) book, Capital in the 21st Century, follows in the tradition of the great classical economists, like Marx and Ricardo, in formulating general laws of capitalism to diagnose and predict the dynamics of inequality. We argue that general economic laws are unhelpful as a guide to understanding the past or predicting the future because they ignore the central role of political and economic institutions, as well as the endogenous evolution of technology, in shaping the distribution of resources in society. We use regression evidence to show that the main economic force emphasized in Piketty's book, the gap between the interest rate and the growth rate, does not appear to explain historical patterns of inequality (especially, the share of income accruing to the upper tail of the distribution). We then use the histories of inequality of South Africa and Sweden to illustrate that inequality dynamics cannot be understood without embedding economic factors in the context of economic and political institutions, and also that the focus on the share of top incomes can give a misleading characterization of the true nature of inequality.

一般经济规律不平等动态政治经济制度收入分配