Decision Making Processes Under Uncertainty: An Econometric Analysis
利用印度农村日薪劳动力市场面板数据，检验期望效用模型在非自愿失业不确定性下的适用性，发现工人通过过往经验形成主观概率且风险厌恶，保留工资非正。
This paper utilises panel data from rural India on a daily rated labour market to examine how workers deal with the uncertainty which arises from the existence of involuntary unemployment. In particular, it measures the Expected Utility Model (EUM) with linear and nonlinear objective probabilities; the EUM with linear and nonlinear subjective probabilities. The econometric analysis indicates that the decision making model is under uncertainty and that people work out their subjective probabilities through their past experiences. Finally, agents in the sample turn out to be risk-averse and not to have a positive reservation wage.