The German Elections in the 1870s: Why Germany Turned from Liberalism to Protectionism
利用新数据集和King算法，重新审视1878年德国大选中自由派失去议会多数席位的原因，发现转向保护主义并非由新选民导致，而是来自农业部门的浮动选民。
In 1878 the liberal parties lost enough votes to lose the majority in the parliament which they had defended in the general election just one year before. In this article, the questions of where the voters came from and why the voting changed so crucially within one year are reexamined. The analysis uses a new set of data and makes use of King's algorithm, a tool provided by modern political science. The main finding of this article is that the change towards protectionism was not caused by new, but by floating voters from the agricultural sector.