高频数据积分矩的广义方法

Generalized Method of Integrated Moments for High-Frequency Data

Econometrica · 2016
被引 76
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一个两步半参数推断方法,利用高频数据中的矩条件估计有限维参数,第一步非参数恢复资产波动率路径,第二步用GMM估计并校正偏差,适用于金融波动率建模。

Abstract

We propose a semiparametric two‐step inference procedure for a finite‐dimensional parameter based on moment conditions constructed from high‐frequency data. The population moment conditions take the form of temporally integrated functionals of state‐variable processes that include the latent stochastic volatility process of an asset. In the first step, we nonparametrically recover the volatility path from high‐frequency asset returns. The nonparametric volatility estimator is then used to form sample moment functions in the second‐step GMM estimation, which requires the correction of a high‐order nonlinearity bias from the first step. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically mixed Gaussian and propose a consistent estimator for the conditional asymptotic variance. We also construct a Bierens‐type consistent specification test. These infill asymptotic results are based on a novel empirical‐process‐type theory for general integrated functionals of noisy semimartingale processes.

广义矩方法高频数据非参数波动率估计半参数推断