Looking for a Guide to Protect the Environment: The Development of the Precautionary Principle
从经济学角度解读预防原则,通过案例分析和决策理论文献综述,指出该原则缺乏令人满意的经济模型,且不能先验适用,可能效率低下。
Abstract. If the precautionary principle is to become the guide of the international community for environmental protection policies, an economic interpretation of the principle is in order. The analysis of case studies and a survey of the recent decision theoretic literature show the lack of a fully satisfactory economic model. More generally various theoretical and empirical results show that the principle cannot be assumed to apply a priori . Though it has been proposed by international treaties as a rule of thumb for situations of scientific uncertainty, the precautionary principle could actually be inefficient.