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大协方差矩阵的经验性质

Empirical properties of large covariance matrices

Quantitative Finance · 2011
被引 18
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了三个数据集(规模54、55和330)的大经验协方差与相关矩阵的性质,发现其谱除前几个特征值外非常静态且指数衰减,相关矩阵谱更静态,降维会丢失大部分动态信息。

Abstract

The salient properties of large empirical covariance and correlation matrices are studied for three datasets of size 54, 55 and 330. The covariance is defined as a simple cross product of the returns, with weights that decay logarithmically slowly. The key general properties of the covariance matrices are the following. The spectrum of the covariance is very static, except for the top three to 10 eigenvalues, and decay exponentially fast toward zero. The mean spectrum and spectral density show no particular feature that would separate ‘meaningful’ from ‘noisy’ eigenvalues. The spectrum of the correlation is more static, with three to five eigenvalues that have distinct dynamics. The mean projector of rank k on the leading subspace shows that a large part of the dynamics occurs in the eigenvectors. Together, this implies that the reduction of the covariance to a few leading static eigenmodes misses most of the dynamics. Finally, all the analysed properties of the dynamics of the covariance and correlation are similar. This indicates that a covariance estimator correctly evaluates both volatilities and correlations, and separate estimators are not required.

金融计量协方差估计高维统计随机矩阵理论