关于婴儿的讨价还价:理论、证据与政策启示

Bargaining over Babies: Theory, Evidence, and Policy Implications

American Economic Review · 2019
被引 272
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用新数据发现,婴儿出生通常需要父母双方都想要孩子;在低生育率国家,女性比男性更可能反对生育。模型表明,降低母亲育儿负担的政策能有效提高生育率。

Abstract

It takes a woman and a man to make a baby. This fact suggests that for a birth to take place, the parents should first agree on wanting a child. Using newly available data on fertility preferences and outcomes, we show that indeed, babies are likely to arrive only if both parents desire one. In addition, there are many couples who disagree on having babies, and in low-fertility countries women are much more likely than men to be opposed to having another child. We account for this evidence with a quantitative model of household bargaining in which the distribution of the burden of child care between mothers and fathers is a key determinant of fertility. The model implies that fertility is highly responsive to targeted policies that lower the child care burden specifically for mothers.

生育偏好家庭议价育儿负担低生育率