Economic Experts versus Average Americans
比较经济专家与美国普通民众对政策问题的回答,发现两者存在35个百分点的差距,该差距仅部分由意识形态或个人特征解释,且专家共识度越高的问题差距越大,告知专家意见对普通人影响甚微。
We compare answers to policy questions by economic experts and a representative sample of the US population. We find a 35 percentage point difference between the two groups. This gap is only partially explained by differences in ideological or personal characteristics of the two samples. Interestingly, the difference is the largest on the questions where economists agree the most and where there is the largest amount of literature. Informing people of the expert opinions does not seem to have much of an impact. Ordinary people seem to be skeptical of the implicit assumptions embedded into the economists' answers.