联邦公开市场委员会何时开始以联邦基金利率为目标?逐字记录告诉我们的信息

When Did the FOMC Begin Targeting the Federal Funds Rate? What the Verbatim Transcripts Tell Us

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2006
被引 79
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

通过分析FOMC会议逐字记录,论证了美联储实际上在1982年就已转向以联邦基金利率为目标的操作程序,而非通常认为的较晚时间,对研究货币政策历史有参考价值。

Abstract

In October 1982 the FOMC deemphasized M1 and moved to what is commonly referred to as a borrowed reserves operating procedure. Sometime thereafter the FOMC switched to a funds rate targeting procedure but never formally announced the change. Given the close correspondence between a borrowed reserves operating procedure and a funds rate targeting procedure, Thornton (1988) suggested that the FOMC went immediately to a funds rate targeting procedure. Others date the switch to the funds rate procedure later. Meulendyke (1998) suggests the switch came in late 1987, while others suggest the change occurred later. This paper reviews the verbatim transcripts of the FOMC meetings to establish the timing of the switch. The verbatim transcripts suggest that the FOMC effectively switched to a funds rate targeting procedure in 1982. The documentary evidence is supported by an analysis of the spread between the funds rate and the funds rate target, which suggests that the differences in the behavior of the spread before October 1979 and after October 1982 are relatively small and economically unimportant.

FOMC联邦基金利率利率目标制