Longevity Expectations and Death: Can People Predict Their Own Demise?
利用调查数据检验人们能否准确预测自己的寿命,发现主观长寿预期与后续死亡率显著相关,对理解个体决策和公共政策有参考价值。
Longevity Expectations and Death: Can People Predict Their Own Demise? by V. Kerry Smith, Donald H. Taylor and Frank A. Sloan. Published in volume 91, issue 4, pages 1126-1134 of American Economic Review, September 2001