含投资(和劳动谈判)的粘性价格模型中通胀目标利率政策的确定性

Determinacy under Inflation Targeting Interest Rate Policy in a Sticky Price Model with Investment (and Labor Bargaining)

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2011
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了含投资的粘性价格模型中,利率政策对通胀预期和当前通胀的加权平均做出反应时,均衡确定性的充要条件,发现平均通胀目标政策在反应系数足够大时能保证确定性。

Abstract

In a sticky price model with investment spending, recent research shows that inflation-forecast targeting interest rate policy makes determinacy of equilibrium essentially impossible. We examine a necessary and sufficient condition for determinacy under interest rate policy that responds to a weighted average of an inflation forecast and current inflation. This condition demonstrates that the average-inflation targeting policy ensures determinacy as long as both the response to average inflation and the relative weight of current inflation are large enough. We also find that interest rate policy which responds solely to past inflation guarantees determinacy when its response satisfies the Taylor principle and is not large. These results still hold even when wages and hours worked are determined by Nash bargaining.

通胀预测目标制利率政策均衡确定性粘性价格模型