Impatience and Uncertainty: Experimental Decisions Predict Adolescents' Field Behavior
通过实验测量661名10-18岁青少年的风险态度、模糊态度和时间偏好,发现不耐烦程度能显著预测其健康行为、储蓄决策和在校表现,而风险与模糊态度预测力较弱。
We study risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, and time preferences of 661 children and adolescents, aged ten to eighteen years, in an incentivized experiment and relate experimental choices to field behavior. Experimental measures of impatience are found to be significant predictors of health-related field behavior, saving decisions, and conduct at school. In particular, more impatient children and adolescents are more likely to spend money on alcohol and cigarettes, have a higher body mass index, are less likely to save money, and show worse conduct at school. Experimental measures for risk and ambiguity attitudes are only weak predictors of field behavior.