Striking for a Bargain Between Two Completely Informed Agents
用序贯博弈模型分析工会与企业的工资谈判,发现即使双方完全理性且信息充分,工会仍可能多次罢工后才达成协议,这对理解关税战、债务谈判等低效现象有启示。
This paper models the wage-contract negotiation procedure between a union and a firm as a sequential bargaining process in which the union also decides, in each period, whether or not to strike for the duration of that period. We show that there exist subgame-perfect equilibria in which the union engages in several periods of strikes prior to reaching a final agreement, although both parties are completely rational and fully informed. This has implications for other inefficient phenomena such as tariff wars, debt negotiations, and wars in general. We characterize the set of equilibria, show that strikes can occur in real time, and discuss extensions of the model such as lockouts and the possibility of multiple recontracting opportunities.